Stocks have gone nowhere in the last month. Much of this lackluster performance may be attributed to the Israeli conflict with Iran. Let’s unpack a Middle East war & stock market projections playbook. Geopolitical events are never fun to sit through. Whether it’s wars, debt downgrades, tariffs, or rate shocks – uncertainty is unsettling. And… Read more »
The unthinkable happened. 2 short months ago, stocks recorded record outflows. Fast forward to today, stocks are overbought. I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again. Rarely does the crowd get rich together. It takes a data-driven action plan to create the courage to entertain unconventional ideas. And the fun isn’t over yet. My… Read more »
The crowd is finally in agreement. Investing in stocks is a great idea. This has the potential to ignite forced flows and a blowoff top. It’s simple. The biggest returns come from buying when the crowd is most fearful. At the market low on April 10th, I gave a presentation suggesting a breath-taking rally is… Read more »
Growth stocks are making highs daily. One of the greatest risk-on environments is unfolding before our eyes. You need to prepare for extreme overbought conditions. Today’s message is simple: Not only are new all-time highs coming for markets, the evidence points to a sustained rally ahead. Let’s rewind the tape. One month ago, I warned… Read more »
The epic rally stalled. Many are describing the setback as an elaborate unsolvable debt spiral. I think it’s simpler…and it all kicked off last Friday. Let’s unpack Moody’s USA credit downgrade and make evidence-based forward projections. On Friday, Moody’s downgraded the United States credit rating to Aa1 from Aaa, citing the one-notch downgrade…reflects the increase… Read more »
The equity rally has been breath-taking. A month ago, the crowd capitulated. Today they are buying in droves. Let’s unpack the market rally breadth & future projections. Here’s an interesting fact. Stare into a mirror and your reflection will appear double the distance. Standing 5 feet away from the looking glass will reflect an image… Read more »
A month ago, stocks crashed. Pundits claimed equities were “uninvestable.” Instead, the unthinkable happened. Brand new leadership and a mid-cap surge has emerged, and this breath-taking rally has legs to run. Consider this: Estimates suggest that 80% of forest fires are human caused. What’s important is what occurs once the flames burn out. Nature eventually… Read more »
Just 3 weeks ago, the pundits had you believe stocks were damned. Today the crowd is stunned. We’re witnessing 7 consecutive days of green. Extreme capitulation often triggers forced buying. Headline tape bombs took us on an adventure in April. In no particular order, here’s what I vividly remember: Liberation Day sent equities plunging –… Read more »
Stocks may have bottomed. Capitulation appears long gone. There’s a rare volatility crash signal also appearing. Recapping tariff headlines is futile. One minute there’s no deal, then there’s a deal, and after that there’s another wrinkle to sort through. Good luck connecting those dots. A better use of time and effort is studying patterns of… Read more »
It’s been a challenging few weeks. Stocks are falling. Investors are scared. Then we find out that the S&P 500 formed a death cross. Tariffs are causing extreme uncertainty. Arguably the most important company in the world, NVIDIA (NVDA), is the latest headline casualty. The company announced a multibillion-dollar charge related to chips sold to… Read more »