Macro Insights

3 Momentum Studies Forecast Big Upside for Stocks

3 Momentum Studies Forecast Big Upside for Stocks

Records have been set. The S&P 500 has hit 24 fresh all-time highs in 2026 so far. Better yet, the S&P was up 14.9% in the second quarter, the best midterm-year second quarter ever… and the fifth-best Q2 of any year since 1950. The good news is the party isn’t over. WHY? 3 momentum studies… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Mag 7 Weakness Accelerates Rotation into Dividend Stocks

Mag 7 Weakness Accelerates Rotation into Dividend Stocks

Healthy rotation and market broadening are hallmarks of great bull markets – it’s how they last so long. The current bull market is the 8th longest in history, up 107% since October 12, 2022. That said, markets are shifting out of popular core names and into prior benchwarmers. Mag 7 weakness accelerates rotation into dividend… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Buy Energy Stocks to Hedge AI Exposure

Buy Energy Stocks to Hedge AI Exposure

The biggest game in town has been the AI-trade. Stocks levered to memory, power, photonics, and infrastructure have risen spectacularly. That doesn’t come without downside risks. There’s a way to protect yourself should the AI-trade falter. Keep it simple: Buy energy stocks to hedge AI exposure. Let’s call a spade a spade. The AI boom… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Raising Our S&P 500 Price Target to 8200

Raising Our S&P 500 Price Target to 8200

Stocks have enjoyed an amazing run. The S&P 500 rose 20% from the March 30 low through May 26 – its biggest gain ever in such a short time. It’s easy to think it’s time to cash out. We’ll take the other side by raising our S&P 500 price target to 8200. Let’s rewind the… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Small-Cap Stocks Are Cheap and Growing Faster Than Mega-caps

Small Cap Stocks Are Cheap and Growing Faster Than Mega-caps

After years of frustrating false starts, smaller companies are back… …finally consistently outperforming. The reason? Small cap stocks are cheap and growing faster than mega-caps. Today, we’ll outline the recent strength in the group, including: the diversification leverage angle how GDP trends favor smaller-sized firms the earnings trajectory and more After you review the evidence,… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
AI Infrastructure Profits Double the S&P 500 Growth Rate

AI Infrastructure Profits Double the S&P 500 Growth Rate

Everywhere you look there’s talk of an AI bubble. We don’t see it that way. Our work suggests the crowd is grossly underestimating the transformative nature of this tech boom. The fact is simple: AI infrastructure profits are double the S&P 500 growth rate. Let’s face it. Artificial intelligence has sucked all the air out… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Earnings Momentum is Accelerating and Will Send Stocks Surging

Earnings Momentum is Accelerating and Will Send Stocks Surging

In challenging times, if you wait for the “all clear” you often miss out. The April 7 Iran ceasefire helped the S&P 500 erase its 10% correction since bottoming on March 30. If you missed that move, don’t fret. Earnings momentum is accelerating and will send stocks surging. Let’s rewind the tape for a moment…. Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Don’t Miss the Midterm Election Year Rally

Don’t Miss the Midterm Election Year Rally

Stocks have been hostage to geopolitical headlines. Financial conditions are tightening as rising oil prices push up interest rates and the dollar. Thankfully, visibility on a credible offramp to the Iran conflict seems to be gradually emerging. It’s been a tough market, but the good news is market volatility always creates great buying opportunities. The… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
High Oil and Surging Volatility Will Not Derail the Stock Market

High Oil and Surging Volatility Will Not Derail the Stock Market

Our 2026 Outlook warned to brace for an uptick in volatility. It’s here. We’ve also seen a massive spike in energy prices. Taken together, equities are struggling. But it’s not all bad news. High oil and surging volatility will not derail the stock market. Let’s unpack the environment. Macro uncertainty is sky high. Iran is… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Why Spiking Uncertainty isn’t a Reason to Sell Stocks

Extreme Economic Uncertainty is a Major Buy Signal

Economic uncertainty is spiking. Doomers are having a field day. Top worries include a widening Middle East war, an AI driven growth scare, an oil-induced inflation spike, and a premature end to fed rate cuts. It’s a very scary list.   Just don’t fall for it because extreme economic uncertainty is a major buy signal…. Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks