Macro Insights

Don’t Miss the Midterm Election Year Rally

Don’t Miss the Midterm Election Year Rally

Stocks have been hostage to geopolitical headlines. Financial conditions are tightening as rising oil prices push up interest rates and the dollar. Thankfully, visibility on a credible offramp to the Iran conflict seems to be gradually emerging. It’s been a tough market, but the good news is market volatility always creates great buying opportunities. The… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
High Oil and Surging Volatility Will Not Derail the Stock Market

High Oil and Surging Volatility Will Not Derail the Stock Market

Our 2026 Outlook warned to brace for an uptick in volatility. It’s here. We’ve also seen a massive spike in energy prices. Taken together, equities are struggling. But it’s not all bad news. High oil and surging volatility will not derail the stock market. Let’s unpack the environment. Macro uncertainty is sky high. Iran is… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Why Spiking Uncertainty isn’t a Reason to Sell Stocks

Extreme Economic Uncertainty is a Major Buy Signal

Economic uncertainty is spiking. Doomers are having a field day. Top worries include a widening Middle East war, an AI driven growth scare, an oil-induced inflation spike, and a premature end to fed rate cuts. It’s a very scary list.   Just don’t fall for it because extreme economic uncertainty is a major buy signal…. Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Gold and Gold Miners Offer Portfolio Diversification

Gold and Gold Miners Offer Portfolio Diversification

Gold’s been shining bright. After surging to $5626 in late January gold fell a quick 20% by early February and has since been chopping around $5000. We see a big opportunity given the drop. That’s because gold and gold miners offer portfolio diversification. Let’s rewind the tape. Last May, we told you to Buy the… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Surging Earnings and Margins Signal a Big Bet on Cyclical Stocks

Surging Earnings and Margins Signal a Big Bet on Cyclical Stocks

We know stocks follow earnings. We also know margin expansion leads to beefy bottom lines. This is a powerful combo. Surging earnings and margins signal a big bet on cyclical stocks. Today we’ll unpack both the earnings and margin expansion picture. Turns out, there’s a monster opportunity for 2026. We’ll also highlight the best sectors… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
AI Adoption Rate Will Boom Spiking Productivity

AI Adoption Rate will Boom Spiking Productivity

2026 is off to a choppy start as macro crosscurrents abound. On the one hand, the strong fundamentals we outlined in our 2026 Outlook have kept stocks well bid near record highs as this rotating rally continues to broaden out. On the other, out of the blue, tape bombs are creating near-constant headline risk for… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Rapid Disinflation Will Send Equities Higher in 2026

Rapid Disinflation Will Send Equities Higher in 2026

Happy new year everyone! As we kick off 2026, inflation still nears the top of the bears’ worry list. Pundits profess that tariffs will keep prices high and Fed policy tight, leaving stocks ripe for a big drawdown. Just don’t fall for it. The real risk is disinflation…not rising prices. Today, we’ll show you why… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
2026 Outlook: 7 Signals Highlight New Market Opportunities

2026 Outlook: 7 Signals Highlight New Market Opportunities

Equities’ resilience in 2025 stunned just about everyone. In rare fashion, the S&P 500 overcame a massive spring tariff tape bomb and near bear market to find itself on the verge of its third big up year in a row. We see further upside in equities but with a change in character as 7 signals… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Lower Rates & Oil Prices will Keep the Bull Market on Track

Lower Rates & Oil Prices will Keep the Bull Market on Track

After an epic 40% run, off its April lows, the S&P 500 has finally succumbed to profit taking. We’ve covered many positives up to now: Fed easing, accelerating earnings growth, fiscal stimulus, deregulation, ramping productivity and increasing M&A. But new ones are emerging. Lower rates & oil prices will keep the bull market on track…. Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Fed Rate Cuts Pack More Punch When Earnings Growth is Strong

Fed Rate Cuts Pack More Punch When Earnings Growth is Strong

Market volatility is up as increasingly skittish investors try to front run potential drawdowns. This is normal and expected in bull markets. We see this latest pullback as short-lived given 2 macro forces: Fed rate cuts pack more punch when earnings growth is strong. Take the latest dip in stride and don’t let this choppy… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks