Mega Rotation into Small-cap stocks

Mega Rotation into Small-cap Stocks

by Lucas Downey All, Big Money Insights Weekly

It’s boom-time. A huge wave of money is plowing into equities.

There’s a mega rotation into small-cap stocks.

Data is beautiful. It uncovers the biggest trends. More importantly, it spotlights NEW emerging trends, just as they begin. As an investor, that’s the golden opportunity.

Staying ahead of the crowd is the edge you need to succeed in trading.

Today, we’ll unpack the money flows reshaping the market. Believe it or not, we’re witnessing the 2nd largest risk-on tape all year.

You just need a map to see it.

Finally, I’ll zero-in on the best sector for near-term upside. Get your rally hats on folks!

Mega Rotation into Small-cap Stocks

If you sensed that I’m constructive on stocks, it’s for a simple reason. Equities are getting bought in a monster way.

Our Big Money Index (BMI) is the market x-ray. Beginning in June, it’s started a new uptrend. I’ve overlaid the BMI with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM):

I’ve circled the quickly changing data that began last Thursday. Out of nowhere, a hungry appetite for stocks appeared. This suggested to me that a bullish trend change was underway:

On Thursday selling slowed just enough to set the BMI in motion higher. But there’s more.

Diving deeper, the real picture illuminates. Our proprietary algos spotted something we haven’t seen in months: a mega rotation into small-cap stocks.

Get this. There were 488 stocks bought between Friday and Wednesday of this week. 92% of those inflows were in market caps below $50B:

Ladies in gentlemen, that’s an incredible wave of money rushing into an unloved category. That spark of life ignited a beautiful rotation out of mega-cap growth and into small caps.

The past 4 trading days saw the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) outperform the NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQ) by an eye-popping 4.79%!

IWM vs QQQ Returns | FactSet
Source: FactSet

This move came right on the heels of last week’s message: Go long Materials Stocks. Since that pre-market post, the Materials Sector ETF (XLB) is up 5.17%. That’s the power MAPsignals!

But what about now? Which area should investors focus on in the coming weeks? Some of the best small-cap fishing is in the Discretionary space.

Not only has it been the 2nd best ranking group all year in data, it’s one of the main beneficiaries of the mega rotation into small-cap stocks.

The last 2 days saw dozens of high-quality names bought:

Which now brings me to the all-important message. Certain companies in the discretionary space are in monster bullish uptrends. This is where MAPsignals shines.

Each morning our portal updates with the top 20 ranked stocks by major sector groups. Below is a snapshot of this morning’s Retail/Consumer list. This is the A-team of stocks.

I’ve blurred out the tickers and bracketed the performance of these names. Many are in the middle of healthy uptrends, with double-digit returns:

My tune hasn’t changed this year: Keep betting on high-quality stocks.

The latest surge in small-cap stocks only reinforces this theme. There is a ton of opportunity out there – Follow the Big Money, baby!

Let’s wrap up.

Here’s the bottom line: Breadth is expanding in a big way. We’re noting some of the largest inflows all year. The mega rotation into small-cap stocks is set in motion.

A great way to participate in further upside is via discretionary stocks. But be choosy. Focus on the best stocks under accumulation.

Let our process help!

2023 is shaping up as one of the best stock picking environments in years. I’ll leave you with 4 simple words: Follow the Big Money.

Become a MAP Pro subscriber and gain access to all of the data presented today in our portal.

Have a great week!

Lucas Downey
Lucas Downey
Lucas is co-founder of MoneyFlows. His full bio can be found here. Prior to MoneyFlows, he was Head of ETF Sales at Cantor Fitzgerald & SVP of Derivatives at Jefferies, LLC.

6 Comments

Great as always thanks
Thanks, Ali!
Does membership allow for money flow for individual tickers of my own choosing?
Absolutely - you can see money flows on any stock. The real value is being able to see the names getting bought day after day with their MAP Scores.
Could you explain more about the definition and constituents of big money eg volume spikes, COT report/commercials, institutions, hedge funds etc. Thanks
Hey Stephen, We spent years handling hedge fund order flow. That experience led us to develop proprietary algos looking for unusual trading activity and ultimately buy/sell order flow. It's all data science and a best guess as to real-time positioning. We don't use lagging information like COT or delayed filings in our data. We are looking at many unique relationships between price, volume, and volatility on thousands of instruments. That's how we confidently ascribe buys and sells. It's completely unique and it's the way the market works. We're trying to shift the way investors understand market mechanics - and provide them unparalleled value.

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