Bear markets take their toll on everyone. But they eventually end. Capitulation forms bottoms. Last week I discussed how our data showed signs of capitulation. Well, it’s only intensified. Every sector is getting thrown out with the bath water. That’s the bad news. The good news is that selling eventually exhausts itself and new leadership… Read more »
Just when sellers seemed to take a vacation, they returned with a vengeance. The first signs of capitulation are here. I’ll admit, last week I expected a rosier near-term picture for markets. The data pointed to de-risking grinding to a halt. Since then, major selling fired up again. Macro headwinds continue to accelerate volatility: namely,… Read more »
Markets move like waves. Money is the current. Follow that flow and you’ll have an edge. Stocks are rising as massive selling slows. Look, I get it. Investing has been a rough ride in 2022. Investors are dealing with an onslaught of non-stop macro headwinds. Inflation is running hot, interest rates keep rising, we have… Read more »
If you want to divide a room, ask a group of investors their forecast on the market in 2022. If you want an unemotional narrative of the stock market, follow data. Today’s message is simple: Stocks bounce from oversold levels. There’s every reason in the world to NOT own stocks. Let’s run through a few… Read more »
The bears are out in full force. And I don’t blame them – there’s a lot to be worried about on the economic front. But there’s also reason to be hopeful and bullish. Markets are officially oversold, and valuations are becoming attractive. It’s hard to find reasons to buy stocks right now. Inflation is raging… Read more »
We’re in one of the most challenging market environments in years. Stock prices keep falling. Sentiment is awful. Volatility remains amped. But here’s the positive news: The Big Money Index should hit oversold within days. Look, there’s no denying the pain many investors feel right now. Not only are most stocks falling hard, but there’s… Read more »
Fear is high. De-risking is at levels not seen since March 2020. That’s the bad news. The good news is where I’m going to focus today. When selling is this intense, a rare buy signal is approaching. Look, the past month has been brutal for stocks. Since March 29th, the S&P 500 (SPY ETF) is… Read more »
Stocks keep getting sold. Many companies are in a bear market. As the Big Money Index approaches oversold levels, what does it mean for stocks going forward? I went back in our data to help answer that question. Last week I gave the warning that buyers disappeared in our data. And after another week of… Read more »
Investing isn’t easy. And the last year is proof that bull markets can turn bearish fast. The past week of data has a different tone. Today we’ll cover when buyers disappear. Markets have been under a lot of stress for months. Fears of earnings slowdowns, raging inflation, higher interest rates, and a Russian war have… Read more »
The Big Money Index is reaching levels we haven’t seen since November. That means plenty of stocks are cranking higher. Today I’m covering the bull market of 2022. But first, let’s rewind the tape. When I first started investing, I did what many new investors do, I followed the news for insights. But, quickly I… Read more »