This rally’s been epic. The S&P 500 is up 10% in 2024 on top of 2023’s impressive 26.2% total return. Our macro message for investors (not traders) remains the same: stay the course. This broadening rally has plenty of gas left in the tank. Today, we’ll discuss 4 reasons this bull market still has legs…. Read more »
One of the least loved areas of the market is getting an upgrade today. Battered small-caps have not kept pace with large-caps all year. But we see that dynamic shifting. There are six big reasons to buy small-cap stocks over the near-to-medium term. As a reminder, last August we told you to buy small-cap stocks…. Read more »
Recent Middle East tensions are a reminder that geopolitical risk can flare up suddenly. And the headlines can be scary. But emotional, knee-jerk reactions aren’t the answer. Don’t overreact to geopolitical headlines. See, geopolitical events are always a surprise. They’re inherently unknowable, so they’re never priced into the market. That’s why stocks initially sell off… Read more »
This rally has been an epic bear crusher. The S&P 500 rallied 28% from October 27, through the end of first quarter. Don’t let that big performance scare you. Strong momentum isn’t a reason to sell stocks. Thing is, the higher stocks have risen, the more bears have called for a sell-off. A broken clock… Read more »
This market just won’t quit. The S&P 500 is up 25% since late October! It’s tempting to think this epic rally can’t last. The urge to cash out is hard for many to resist. Our macro message for investors (not traders) is stay the course – 7 charts signal more pain for the bears. Remember… Read more »
Stocks have had an amazing run. The S&P 500 rallied 22% from its late October lows. It’s north of 5000. That’s one of the steepest 3 ½ month rallies of all time! Regular readers know we’ve been bullish the whole way. But it’s time for stocks to catch their breath. Today, we’ll show you how… Read more »
Last year’s Tech-heavy rally was an either-or year. Essentially, the Tech bet worked much better than everything else. This year we see the pendulum swinging the other way with more participation across the board. Today, we’ll unpack that viewpoint a bit and cover why macro drivers signal a broadening rally in 2024. AND we’ll zero… Read more »
2023’s turned out to be a much better year than most investors expected. A year ago, Wall Street predicted just 7% market upside with the S&P 500 finishing 2023 at 4100. We showed you Why Stocks Can Be a Good Bet in 2023. Fast forward 12 months and the S&P sits around 4560 up 20%… Read more »
Stocks have been on a wild ride, gyrating up, down and all around. On October 9th, we told you a massive buying opportunity was looming as the BMI plunged into oversold territory. Fast forward a month and despite all the crazy chop, the S&P 500 is 3% higher and 7% off its October 27 low…. Read more »
It’s getting ugly out there. Equity selling pressure is intensifying. We are reaching the point to disregard the rate scare and buy stocks now. In late July, we initiated our pullback narrative when our Big Money Index (BMI) peaked out at a scorching 83.9. Stocks never do well in the short-term when the BMI gets… Read more »