Macro Insights

Fed Rate Cuts Pack More Punch When Earnings Growth is Strong

Fed Rate Cuts Pack More Punch When Earnings Growth is Strong

Market volatility is up as increasingly skittish investors try to front run potential drawdowns. This is normal and expected in bull markets. We see this latest pullback as short-lived given 2 macro forces: Fed rate cuts pack more punch when earnings growth is strong. Take the latest dip in stride and don’t let this choppy… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
High Quality Stocks are the Big Opportunity Right Now

High Quality Stocks are the Big Opportunity Right Now

The crowd is chasing high-beta homeruns. The rally off the April lows has left high quality stocks behind as speculative names have outperformed. High quality stocks are the big opportunity right now. Despite strong fundamentals, “best of breed” stocks like Apple, Visa, Coca-Cola, Eli Lilly and Costco have lagged, while unprofitable AI, robotics, quantum and… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Stock Market Bubble Fears Are Overblown

Stock Market Bubble Fears Are Overblown

Turn on any media outlet and odds are you’ll hear cries of worrisome exuberance. Valuations, meme trades, a lack of volatility, and more have birthed top callers everywhere you look. We don’t see it that way. In fact, we’ll offer 3 data-driven studies signaling stock market bubble fears are overblown. Chew on this. The S&P… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Fed Easing Favors Dividend Stocks

Fed Easing Favors Dividend Stocks

Dividends are easy to overlook when the market’s ripping higher. That’s a mistake. Lower interest rates are a boon for equity income strategies. It’s simple. Fed easing favors dividend stocks. Today, we’ll cover why the current macro set up favors equity income. We’ll unpack four eye-opening studies covering the power of dividend compounding, why dividend-payers… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Extreme Market Concentration is a Buy Signal

Extreme Market Concentration is a Buy Signal

There are always spooky scare stories around. The noise always amplifies in the fall. Pundits are at it again. They’re spinning a tale about how a top-heavy market is somehow bearish. In fact, it’s the opposite. Extreme market concentration is a buy signal. Most popular bearish narratives have a kernel of truth to them and… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Epic Rallies Kill Recession Odds

Epic Rallies Kill Recession Odds

Bears are finally having a moment. They deserve it, they’ve had a really tough few months. And there are plenty of them – bears outnumbered bulls by 16% in the mid-August AAII sentiment survey. I guess misery loves company. Hug a bear because today, we’re adding another positive to our stock market outlook – the… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
High Valuations are Supported by Strong Cap Ex Growth

High Valuations are Supported by Strong CapEx Growth

On the heels of an epic rally, stocks are finally taking a well-deserved breather on renewed growth jitters. That’s not keeping the bears from griping about elevated valuations. You hear it everywhere. Today, we’ll follow the data to debunk this popular misconception. When you study history, high valuations are supported by strong CapEx Growth. We’ll… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
3 Momentum Signal Studies Highlight Big Upside Ahead

3 Momentum Signal Studies Highlight Big Upside Ahead

Records have been set. And with the S&P 500 up roughly 30% since early April, most pundits are skeptical the rebound can continue. History proves otherwise. On July 14, we made a macro case for equities in 3 Positive Policy Tailwinds for Cyclical Stocks. We’ll keep riding this bull. These 3 momentum signal studies highlight… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
3 Policy Tailwinds for a Rotation into Cyclical Stocks

3 Policy Tailwinds for a Rotation into Cyclical Stocks

The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high on June 27. This ricochet rally has been epic. The S&P recovered all of its 21% spring swoon in just 57 trading days. It’s far from over…if you know where to deploy assets. Today we’ll unpack 3 policy tailwinds for a rotation into cyclical stocks. Let’s first… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
2025 AI Investor Handbook

2025 AI Investor Handbook

After a nasty Spring swoon, stocks are on a roll.   AI momentum has tech leading the charge, up 21.4% QTD – more than double the S&P 500’s 8.6% gain. Our May 5 call to Buy Mega Cap Tech Stocks is humming. But there’s a lot more to like about the “AI trade” than just… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks