Macro Insights

Extreme Market Concentration is a Buy Signal

Extreme Market Concentration is a Buy Signal

There are always spooky scare stories around. The noise always amplifies in the fall. Pundits are at it again. They’re spinning a tale about how a top-heavy market is somehow bearish. In fact, it’s the opposite. Extreme market concentration is a buy signal. Most popular bearish narratives have a kernel of truth to them and… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Epic Rallies Kill Recession Odds

Epic Rallies Kill Recession Odds

Bears are finally having a moment. They deserve it, they’ve had a really tough few months. And there are plenty of them – bears outnumbered bulls by 16% in the mid-August AAII sentiment survey. I guess misery loves company. Hug a bear because today, we’re adding another positive to our stock market outlook – the… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
High Valuations are Supported by Strong Cap Ex Growth

High Valuations are Supported by Strong CapEx Growth

On the heels of an epic rally, stocks are finally taking a well-deserved breather on renewed growth jitters. That’s not keeping the bears from griping about elevated valuations. You hear it everywhere. Today, we’ll follow the data to debunk this popular misconception. When you study history, high valuations are supported by strong CapEx Growth. We’ll… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
3 Momentum Signal Studies Highlight Big Upside Ahead

3 Momentum Signal Studies Highlight Big Upside Ahead

Records have been set. And with the S&P 500 up roughly 30% since early April, most pundits are skeptical the rebound can continue. History proves otherwise. On July 14, we made a macro case for equities in 3 Positive Policy Tailwinds for Cyclical Stocks. We’ll keep riding this bull. These 3 momentum signal studies highlight… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
3 Policy Tailwinds for a Rotation into Cyclical Stocks

3 Policy Tailwinds for a Rotation into Cyclical Stocks

The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high on June 27. This ricochet rally has been epic. The S&P recovered all of its 21% spring swoon in just 57 trading days. It’s far from over…if you know where to deploy assets. Today we’ll unpack 3 policy tailwinds for a rotation into cyclical stocks. Let’s first… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
2025 AI Investor Handbook

2025 AI Investor Handbook

After a nasty Spring swoon, stocks are on a roll.   AI momentum has tech leading the charge, up 21.4% QTD – more than double the S&P 500’s 8.6% gain. Our May 5 call to Buy Mega Cap Tech Stocks is humming. But there’s a lot more to like about the “AI trade” than just… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
3 Bullish Forces that will Drive Stocks to All-time Highs

3 Bullish Forces that will Drive Stocks to All-Time Highs

2025’s wild ride and trade tape bombs keep spooking investors. Many sold out just to witness Spring’s ricochet rally. It’s painful sitting on the sidelines…and given widespread defensive positioning, the bullish parade isn’t stopping. The pain trade is higher. Today we’ll highlight 3 bullish forces that will drive stocks to all-time highs. We’ll start by… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Buy the Dip in Gold

Buy the Dip in Gold

2025’s epic volatility is a great reminder of the importance of diversification. Adding gold to your portfolio gives you a smoother ride. Even after a recent 10% correction, gold is still up over 20% YTD, beating everything from bitcoin to large, mid and small cap stocks, international equities and bonds of all stripes. Gold’s big… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Buy Mega Cap Tech Stocks

Buy Mega Cap Tech Stocks

Trade headlines continue to dominate the macro. Uncertainty has investors clinging to safety. Investor sentiment crashed. We’ve been recommending more tariff proof stocks. They’ve proven why they belong in every portfolio. But stock market carnage is creating quality opportunities in beaten down growth areas. It’s time to buy mega cap tech stocks. Before we jump… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks
Recession Obsession

Recession Obsession

Gaming out all the trade war twists and turns is next to impossible. That said, after the S&P 500’s quick 21% drop, single name opportunities have emerged. We’ve isolated 30 stocks that can thrive in tariff uncertainty. In this market, you need to be choosy. Buying the S&P 500 is full of risks. A nasty,… Read more »

Posted in: All Macro Insights Stocks