Posts by Lucas Downey

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A month ago, stocks crashed. Pundits claimed equities were “uninvestable.” Instead, the unthinkable happened. Brand new leadership and a mid-cap surge has emerged, and this breath-taking rally has legs to run. Consider this: Estimates suggest that 80% of forest fires are human caused. What’s important is what occurs once the flames burn out. Nature eventually… Read more »

Just 3 weeks ago, the pundits had you believe stocks were damned. Today the crowd is stunned. We’re witnessing 7 consecutive days of green. Extreme capitulation often triggers forced buying. Headline tape bombs took us on an adventure in April. In no particular order, here’s what I vividly remember: Liberation Day sent equities plunging –… Read more »

Stocks may have bottomed. Capitulation appears long gone. There’s a rare volatility crash signal also appearing. Recapping tariff headlines is futile. One minute there’s no deal, then there’s a deal, and after that there’s another wrinkle to sort through. Good luck connecting those dots. A better use of time and effort is studying patterns of… Read more »

It’s been a challenging few weeks. Stocks are falling. Investors are scared. Then we find out that the S&P 500 formed a death cross. Tariffs are causing extreme uncertainty. Arguably the most important company in the world, NVIDIA (NVDA), is the latest headline casualty. The company announced a multibillion-dollar charge related to chips sold to… Read more »

When the world is upside down, keep it simple. Rarely do we witness volatility and uncertainty like now. Here are 15 extreme charts for April 2025. We’ve been loud and clear about the breath-taking datapoints recently. We noted the weakest breadth dating back to October 2023. Then we suggested that the tariff trade war could… Read more »

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The latest Liberation Day tariffs could send the Big Money Index oversold Read more »

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We’ve been front and center during the latest equity wipeout. As headlines churn from tariffs to recession worries, our stance has been to buy into the meltdown. The evidence points to the worst being behind us. Forced ETF liquidations are over. One tenet of great investing is to take the other side of the crowd…. Read more »